The Living BriefAI guide to Aaron’s work

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All work
Aaron’s Autonomous Alpha logo

Aaron’s Autonomous Alpha (AAA)

An autonomous trading system in active development, designed for cloud-based, multi-asset operation and continuous improvement.

Role
Creator & Project Lead
Status
Independent project in active development
Work
Requirements, reusable skills, evaluation design

My responsibility

I designed Aaron’s Autonomous Alpha as a cloud-based, model-agnostic, multi-asset trading system for fully autonomous operation and continuous strategy and software improvement. It remains in active development. Development is focused on paper/testnet validation, with live trading disabled.

I define requirements and acceptance criteria and coordinate multiple AI assistants in implementation and review, arranging exchanges of work between them. My responsibility is to connect that work, select tools appropriate to the task, and decide what evidence is needed before relying on a result.

Why paper comes first

AAA is intended eventually to trade real capital. That makes extensive paper testing part of the work: the system has to produce evidence that its decisions, execution, and accounting hold together before I would consider entrusting it with real money. A convincing demonstration or a promising simulated return is not enough.

Live trading remains disabled. Paper results, readiness for live operation, and any decision to authorize it are separate questions; profitability and economic edge have not been established.

Evidence before confidence

I establish what evidence is needed before a consequential action or software change can proceed. The review process distinguishes proposed behavior from implemented work, executed tests, deployment, and observed operation. I challenge reviews that substitute a large test count for coverage of the behavior that matters.

Model agnosticism is a design requirement; portability across models remains to be demonstrated.

Reusable instructions

I authored reusable agent skills and a research plugin for project orientation, release review, research, and evidence audits. These artifacts capture recurring requirements in a form I can apply and improve across development work.

I designed the Toolset Reference Library (TRL) to make tool selection more deliberate, documenting relevant capabilities, access limits, evidence, and alternatives.

I specified Ultimate Auto Mode (UAM), an in-development approach to matching AI resources to the demands of a task. Implementation and test cases exist; the skill is currently disabled, and routine automatic or cloud operation has not been demonstrated.

Learning without endless preparation

I created Anti-Zeno’s Paradox, or AZP, to keep experimental preparation focused on what is necessary to learn responsibly. Its purpose is to distinguish essential safeguards from refinements that can wait for evidence. AAA’s completed work includes design, reusable tools, and source implementation within a larger unfinished system; continuous autonomous trading, profitability, and economic edge are not established outcomes.

Project description updated September 9, 2026.

Investing, illustratedOptional lesson: compounding, regular purchases and inflation

This educational illustration is separate from AAA’s development and results. Open the full investing lesson →

An investing illustration

See what steady investing could build.

Move the inputs. Compare money added, a hypothetical balance and what that balance could buy. A smooth chart is a useful explanation, not how markets behave.

Educational illustration. These assumptions are not AAA returns or forecasts. AAA is not accepting investment through this site.

Dollars contributed$70K$70,000 over 20 years
Nominal ending value$128K$127,984 · before fees and taxes
Ending purchasing power$78.1K$78,105 in starting-date dollars
Return path

Month 24020.0 years from the start

Contributed
$70,000
Nominal value
$127,984
Purchasing power
$78,105
Illustrative contributions, nominal value and inflation-adjusted purchasing powerUse the month slider and readout below or the annual table for exact values. This is a hypothetical path, not a forecast.$0$32K$64K$96K$128KYear 0.0Year 5.0Year 10.0Year 15.0Year 20.0Month 240 · nominal value$127,984.10

The smooth path applies the same effective monthly rate throughout. It omits market volatility. Try the bumpy path to see why the order of returns matters when money is added along the way.

Contributed dollars are nominal cash paid in. Purchasing power discounts the ending balance to the starting date; subtracting nominal contributions from that figure would mix price bases.

See the annual values
Illustration at each year end; contributions occur at month end
YearContributedNominal valuePurchasing power
0$10,000$10,000$10,000
1$13,000$13,568$13,237
2$16,000$17,315$16,480
3$19,000$21,249$19,731
4$22,000$25,379$22,992
5$25,000$29,716$26,265
6$28,000$34,270$29,551
7$31,000$39,052$32,853
8$34,000$44,073$36,172
9$37,000$49,344$39,511
10$40,000$54,880$42,872
11$43,000$60,692$46,256
12$46,000$66,795$49,666
13$49,000$73,202$53,103
14$52,000$79,931$56,569
15$55,000$86,995$60,067
16$58,000$94,413$63,599
17$61,000$102,202$67,167
18$64,000$110,380$70,772
19$67,000$118,968$74,418
20$70,000$127,984$78,105

Regular purchases

The same dollars buy
a different number of shares.

Each fictional purchase below is $100. A lower price buys more shares; a higher price buys fewer. Change the prices and watch both the share count and ending value.

Three hypothetical $100 purchases, without fees
PurchasePriceShares bought
1$1001.0000
2$801.2500
3$601.6667

$300 contributed$235.00 ending value-$65.00 gain / loss

Regular investing does not remove volatility or protect against loss. Investing income as it arrives also differs from holding an available lump sum in cash to invest it later; the latter can miss gains while it waits. Investor.gov definition · FINRA on the tradeoff.

What the numbers mean

More dollars.
More buying power?

Inflation changes what money can buy. Here, purchasing power is the nominal balance divided by the assumed cumulative rise in prices. Actual household spending and future inflation will differ. The BLS explains how the CPI measures price changes across a representative basket; this illustration uses your assumption, not a CPI forecast. BLS: understanding the CPI.

Monthly effective return
(1 + annual return)1/12 − 1
End-of-month balance
Prior balance × (1 + monthly return) + contribution
Starting-date purchasing power
Nominal balance ÷ (1 + annual inflation)elapsed years

The bumpy path adds a fixed oscillation to cumulative log returns and returns to the same terminal growth factor. It is an invented teaching device, not a realistic market model. Contributions interact with the path; deposits are not investment returns.

No stock, fund, cryptocurrency or allocation is recommended here. A negative assumed return can reduce capital; a longer horizon does not guarantee a profit.